Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.697251 34.241386 39.164126 44.882539 51.331343 58.367285 66.613280
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 22.066713 28.369163 35.858749 45.362272 57.041751 70.864327 88.393632
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.499907 24.550731 33.567336 45.821671 61.901799 82.126620 109.307706
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.373068 20.275267 29.690145 43.269614 62.112172 87.054149 122.226981
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.588043 18.750981 29.059960 44.672114 67.337020 98.590083 144.372573
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.449948 17.914938 29.178038 46.974510 73.835421 112.186610 170.202390
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.753458 15.912431 27.239723 45.910517 75.193248 118.448953 185.955379
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.178999 13.830649 24.858815 43.799812 74.624610 121.661183 197.267949
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.776938 13.674631 25.541710 46.591672 81.846953 137.008799 227.705415
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.637603 13.956901 26.968366 50.711321 91.485426 156.681970 265.988568
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.995749 13.199375 26.477857 51.474074 95.589703 167.809290 291.465450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.330381 12.289405 25.590532 51.414782 98.235458 176.669969 313.747989
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.559768 11.085597 24.085292 50.221659 99.062050 183.009503 333.094994
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.015896 10.277405 23.255636 50.231000 102.098162 193.422364 360.194249
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.582565 9.634866 22.666804 50.625119 105.851599 205.316272 390.586959
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.935092 8.367873 20.597826 47.814315 103.265301 205.744630 400.966405
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.719443 8.106505 20.649488 49.342152 109.167224 221.867612 440.150621
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.593888 8.050806 21.148044 51.855649 117.210508 242.430761 488.532341
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.242456 7.328274 20.013963 50.693605 117.688899 248.787132 511.150644
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.875521 6.481360 18.455433 48.387982 115.555018 249.938475 524.028858
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.834188 6.567647 19.199333 51.437375 125.014937 274.263627 582.262235
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.860739 6.863624 20.507954 55.933834 137.926106 306.135779 656.615523
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.711677 6.586390 20.296885 56.765957 142.843585 322.245465 701.079223